
Zweig's strategy combines several elements:
- Fundamental analysis of the prevailing monetary conditions. The main indicators used are interest rates and debt levels.
- Technical analysis of the stock market as a whole, to measure market momentum. The three indicaters used are the Advance/Decline ratio, Up Volume and The Four Percent Indicator.
- The Super Model, where the above indicators are combined to give a final score. The Super Model indicates whether the broad market is likely to be bullish or bearish.
- Stocks are screened for superior fundamentals - in particular, above average earnings growth and a reasonable price/earnings ratio.
- Stocks whose fundamentals look attractive are screened using basic technical analysis. Only stocks whose price action shows strength are selected.
Fundamental or Technical Analysis
To judge the market as a whole, Zweig gives greater weight to technical analysis than fundamental analysis. To judge individual stocks, he gives greater weight to fundamental analaysis than technical analysis.
Jesse Livermore
Martin Zweig's own stock-market hero was Jesse Livermore. Zweig's trading philosophy is heavily influenced by Livermore. Some of Livermore's words are particularly pertinent:
They say you never grow poor taking profits. No you don't. But neither do you grow rich taking a four-point spread in a bull market.